tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 14:05 MCO → 15:55 ATL
    DL 1030 · Delta · 1h 50m · 75% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:06 ATL → 20:08 TYS
    DL 5203 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 05m · 73% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 06mMCO 14:05 to TYS 20:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.