tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Pensacola via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:05 MCO → 15:55 ATL
    DL 1030 · Delta · 1h 50m · 75% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 ATL → 17:06 PNS
    DL 2211 · Delta · 1h 16m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 01mMCO 14:05 to PNS 17:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.