tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:15 MSP → 20:56 ATL
    DL 1036 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:49 ATL → 22:13 MEM
    DL 1577 · Delta · 1h 24m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 58mMSP 17:15 to MEM 22:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.