tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:15 MSP → 20:56 ATL
    DL 1036 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:49 ATL → 23:59 BUF
    DL 2334 · Delta · 2h 10m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 44mMSP 17:15 to BUF 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.