tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:56 DTW → 19:00 FLL
    DL 1037 · Delta · 3h 05m · 66% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 FLL → 23:00 JFK
    DL 1419 · Delta · 3h 01m · 59% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 04mDTW 15:56 to JFK 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.