tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 10:26 ATL
    DL 1039 · Delta · 2h 26m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:09 ATL → 15:24 EWR
    DL 2322 · Delta · 2h 15m · 76% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 24mMSP 07:00 to EWR 15:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.