tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 10:26 ATL
    DL 1039 · Delta · 2h 26m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:56 ATL → 14:50 SFO
    DL 750 · Delta · 4h 58m · 73% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 54mMSP 07:00 to SFO 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.