tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 05:20 AUS → 09:21 DTW
    DL 1040 · Delta · 3h 01m · 95% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:59 EWR
    DL 2577 · Delta · 1h 44m · 82% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 39mAUS 05:20 to EWR 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.