tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Austin: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:20 MSP → 17:01 AUS
    DL 1042 · Delta · 2h 41m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 AUS → 22:59 JFK
    DL 1643 · Delta · 4h 01m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 41mMSP 14:20 to JFK 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.