tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:40 MSP → 14:05 ATL
    DL 1046 · Delta · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:12 ATL → 18:53 RIC
    DL 1348 · Delta · 1h 41m · 77% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 13mMSP 10:40 to RIC 18:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.