tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fort Myers via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 10:40 MSP → 14:05 ATL
    DL 1046 · Delta · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 ATL → 16:39 RSW
    DL 1379 · Delta · 1h 45m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 59mMSP 10:40 to RSW 16:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.