tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 10:40 MSP → 14:05 ATL
    DL 1046 · Delta · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 ATL → 17:00 MIA
    DL 1386 · Delta · 2h 06m · 63% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 20mMSP 10:40 to MIA 17:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.