tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:40 MSP → 14:05 ATL
    DL 1046 · Delta · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ATL → 19:06 SNA
    DL 2012 · Delta · 4h 36m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip10h 26mMSP 10:40 to SNA 19:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.