tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 10:40 MSP → 14:05 ATL
    DL 1046 · Delta · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 ATL → 19:13 JAX
    DL 2189 · Delta · 1h 20m · 64% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 33mMSP 10:40 to JAX 19:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.