tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 92%

  1. 07:20 MSP → 08:38 PHX
    DL 1047 · Delta · 3h 18m · 87% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 PHX → 15:18 SEA
    DL 2419 · Delta · 3h 13m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 58mMSP 07:20 to SEA 15:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.