tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 09:43 PHX → 14:45 MSP
    DL 1047 · Delta · 3h 02m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 MSP → 22:26 TPA
    DL 2385 · Delta · 3h 11m · 75% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 43mPHX 09:43 to TPA 22:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.