tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 09:43 PHX → 14:45 MSP
    DL 1047 · Delta · 3h 02m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 20:52 ANC
    DL 377 · Delta · 5h 42m · 66% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 12h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip12h 09mPHX 09:43 to ANC 20:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.