tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:45 MSP → 16:16 ATL
    DL 1048 · Delta · 2h 31m · 81% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:06 ATL → 20:08 TYS
    DL 5203 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 05m · 73% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 26mMSP 12:45 to TYS 20:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.