tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 12:45 MSP → 16:16 ATL
    DL 1048 · Delta · 2h 31m · 81% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 39mMSP 12:45 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.