tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Reno via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 12:45 MSP → 16:16 ATL
    DL 1048 · Delta · 2h 31m · 81% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ATL → 21:44 RNO
    DL 391 · Delta · 4h 47m · 72% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip10h 59mMSP 12:45 to RNO 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.