tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Minneapolis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:30 IAH → 09:18 MSP
    DL 1050 · Delta · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:23 MSP → 12:11 SMF
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 48m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 41mIAH 06:30 to SMF 12:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.