tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Santa Ana via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:30 IAH → 09:18 MSP
    DL 1050 · Delta · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 MSP → 12:56 SNA
    DL 2081 · Delta · 3h 56m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 26mIAH 06:30 to SNA 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.