tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Philadelphia via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:30 IAH → 09:18 MSP
    DL 1050 · Delta · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:09 MSP → 14:43 PHL
    DL 2679 · Delta · 2h 33m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 12mIAH 06:30 to PHL 14:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.