tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 21:53 FAI → 06:05 MSP
    DL 1055 · Delta · 5h 12m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MSP → 10:05 DEN +1 day
    DL 2849 · Delta · 2h 10m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip10h 12mFAI 21:53 to DEN 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.