tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 11:05 MDW → 14:01 ATL
    DL 1063 · Delta · 1h 56m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:56 ATL → 16:35 RIC
    DL 1214 · Delta · 1h 39m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 30mMDW 11:05 to RIC 16:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.