tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 11:05 MDW → 14:01 ATL
    DL 1063 · Delta · 1h 56m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 ATL → 17:31 SFO
    DL 823 · Delta · 5h 02m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 32mMDW 11:05 to SFO 17:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.