tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 90%

  1. 08:45 DTW → 09:56 PHX
    DL 1070 · Delta · 4h 11m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 PHX → 15:18 SEA
    DL 2419 · Delta · 3h 13m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 33mDTW 08:45 to SEA 15:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.