Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Hebron via Detroit: arrives on time 47%

11:06 PHX → 17:54 DTW

DL 1070 · Delta · 3h 48m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
18:40 DTW → 19:58 CVG

DL 5215 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 67% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.

Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).

Total trip5h 52mPHX 11:06 to CVG 19:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.