tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Madison via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 11:06 PHX → 17:54 DTW
    DL 1070 · Delta · 3h 48m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:37 DTW → 20:59 MSN
    DL 3544 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 53mPHX 11:06 to MSN 20:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.