tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 07:50 EYW → 09:56 ATL
    DL 1072 · Delta · 2h 06m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 ATL → 14:20 EWR
    DL 2312 · Delta · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 30mEYW 07:50 to EWR 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.