tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:50 EYW → 09:56 ATL
    DL 1072 · Delta · 2h 06m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:42 DCA
    DL 737 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 52mEYW 07:50 to DCA 12:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.