tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:50 EYW → 09:56 ATL
    DL 1072 · Delta · 2h 06m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:18 ATL → 14:41 ORD
    UA 745 · United · 2h 23m · 81% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Key West). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 51mEYW 07:50 to ORD 14:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.