tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Nashville via Boston: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:05 RDU → 18:12 BOS
    DL 1075 · Delta · 2h 07m · 67% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 BOS → 21:19 BNA
    DL 2586 · Delta · 3h 00m · 60% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 15mRDU 16:05 to BNA 21:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.