tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chattanooga via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 DTW → 14:14 CHA
    DL 5117 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 49mLGA 09:25 to CHA 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.