tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Hebron via Detroit: arrives on time 67%

  1. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 DTW → 13:35 CVG
    DL 5257 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 15m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 10mLGA 09:25 to CVG 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.