tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:05 DTW → 16:47 TPA
    DL 1243 · Delta · 2h 42m · 83% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 22mLGA 09:25 to TPA 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.