tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 DTW → 13:03 ORD
    DL 1716 · Delta · 1h 28m · 78% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 38mLGA 09:25 to ORD 13:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.