tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:03 DTW → 17:27 JAX
    DL 2994 · Delta · 2h 24m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 02mLGA 09:25 to JAX 17:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.