tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:38 DTW → 14:28 LAX
    DL 634 · Delta · 4h 50m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 03mLGA 09:25 to LAX 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.