tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Omaha via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 13:25 OMA
    DL 3762 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 10m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 00mLGA 09:25 to OMA 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.