tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Nashville via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:05 ORF → 07:54 DTW
    DL 1079 · Delta · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:45 DTW → 11:20 BNA
    WN 1775 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 15mORF 06:05 to BNA 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.