tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Traverse City via Detroit: arrives on time 47%

  1. 19:17 ORD → 21:52 DTW
    DL 1084 · Delta · 1h 35m · 69% on time, 7.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:51 DTW → 22:42 TVC
    DL 2424 · Delta · 1h 07m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (7.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip3h 41mORD 19:17 to TVC 22:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.