tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 13:50 TPA → 15:28 ATL
    DL 1099 · Delta · 1h 38m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 ATL → 17:49 SDF
    DL 1126 · Delta · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip3h 59mTPA 13:50 to SDF 17:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.