tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 13:50 TPA → 15:28 ATL
    DL 1099 · Delta · 1h 38m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:31 ATL → 18:09 MSP
    DL 2654 · Delta · 2h 38m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 19mTPA 13:50 to MSP 18:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.