tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Madison via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 10:40 PHL → 12:54 ATL
    DL 1100 · Delta · 2h 14m · 87% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:43 ATL → 15:50 MSN
    DL 2599 · Delta · 2h 07m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 10mPHL 10:40 to MSN 15:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.