tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 16:43 ORF → 18:38 ATL
    DL 1101 · Delta · 1h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 ATL → 21:25 BWI
    DL 1257 · Delta · 1h 55m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 42mORF 16:43 to BWI 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.