tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:43 ORF → 18:38 ATL
    DL 1101 · Delta · 1h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 ATL → 22:17 MIA
    DL 1588 · Delta · 2h 01m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 34mORF 16:43 to MIA 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.