tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 16:43 ORF → 18:38 ATL
    DL 1101 · Delta · 1h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 22:29 EWR
    DL 2527 · Delta · 2h 19m · 65% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 46mORF 16:43 to EWR 22:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.