tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:43 ORF → 18:38 ATL
    DL 1101 · Delta · 1h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 22:27 LGA
    DL 490 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 44mORF 16:43 to LGA 22:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.