tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:50 MSY → 16:58 LAX
    DL 1102 · Delta · 4h 08m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LAX → 20:34 SEA
    DL 2640 · Delta · 2h 49m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 44mMSY 14:50 to SEA 20:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.